England's Covid outbreak SHRANK by 16% last week to below 1million

Total size of England’s Covid outbreak SHRANK by 16% last week to below 1million, mass-testing study shows as experts praise nation’s ‘wall of immunity’but one in 60 people were still infected on any day

  • The Office for National Statistics estimated 925,400 people in England had Covid on any given day last week
  • The figure is 16.1 per cent lower than the estimated 1,103,300 infections it calculated one week earlier
  • Cases appear to be dropping in all age groups and the biggest drop was seen among 11 to 16-year-olds
  • England’s Covid outbreak shrank in size by 16 per cent last week, official figures revealed today as experts hailed the country’s ‘wall of immunityfor keeping the virus at bay.

    国家统计局 (我们), which analyses tens of thousands of random tests to track the spread of the infection, estimated 925,400 people were infected on any given day in the week ending November 6.

    The figure equates to one in 60 people having the virus and is a significant drop on the calculation of 1,103,300 published last week, which had yet to show any downturn following the back-to-school wave despite official data showing the outbreak was naturally retreating.

    And cases appear to be dropping in all age groups, most notably among 11 to 16-year-olds. But around 5 per cent of secondary school pupils were thought to have been carrying the virus in the last week, compared to roughly 7.5 per cent during half-term week.

    One expert claimed the drop has been triggered ‘almost entirely by the wall of immunity, rather than behavioural changes or restrictions’, with the combination of the explosion in cases triggered by schools going back and the country’s vaccination drive credited for the drop.

    And separate data published yesterday by the UK’s largest symptom-tracking study revealed cases fell by almost a fifth in the biggest weekly drop since the summer.

    与此同时, Department for Health data yesterday showed Covid cases increased 14 百分, marking the first rise in 10 天. But hospitalisations and deaths both fell week-on-week.

    国家统计局, which calculates case numbers based on thousands of random swab tests, 发现 925,400 people in the country were infected on any given day in the week ending November 6. The figure equates to one in 60 people having the virus and is 16.1 per cent lower than the estimated 1,103,300 cases one week earlier, when one in 50 people were infected

    国家统计局, which calculates case numbers based on thousands of random swab tests, 发现 925,400 people in the country were infected on any given day in the week ending November 6. The figure equates to one in 60 people having the virus and is 16.1 per cent lower than the estimated 1,103,300 cases one week earlier, when one in 50 people were infected

    The graph shows Office for National Statistics' estimates for the proportion of people testing positive in England, 威尔士, Northern Ireland and Scotland in the last 12 月 (剩下) and in the last 10 周数 (对). The survey randomly swabs 100,000 Britons every seven days — even if they have no symptoms of the virus — to estimate its prevalence in the country. It found 925,400 people in England were infected on any given day in the week ending November 6. 在威尔士, the number of people testing positive dropped during the most recent week. The ONS estimated 64,900 people (2.13 per cent) — one in 45 — were infected on any day. 一些 24,700 people (1.35 per cent) were infected in Northern Ireland, a rate of one in 7人le, according to the statisticians, but they noted the trend in the country was uncertain. 在苏格兰, where one in 85 people were thought to have the virus (62,100, 1.百分ent), the ONS said cases had plateaued

    The graph shows Office for National Statisticsestimates for the proportion of people testing positive in England, 威尔士, Northern Ireland and Scotland in the last 12 月 (剩下) and in the last 10 周数 (对). The survey randomly swabs 100,000 Britons every seven days — even if they have no symptoms of the virus — to estimate its prevalence in the country. It found 925,400 people in England were infected on any given day in the week ending November 6. 在威尔士, the number of people testing positive dropped during the most recent week. The ONS estimated 64,900 人 (2.13 百分) — one in 45 — were infected on any day. 一些 24,700 人 (1.35 百分) were infected in Northern Ireland, a rate of one in 75 人, according to the statisticians, but they noted the trend in the country was uncertain. 在苏格兰, where one in 85 people were thought to have the virus (62,100, 1.18 百分), the ONS said cases had plateaued

    The graphs shows the ONS estimate of the percentage of people infected with Covid in each of England's nine regions. Infections increased in the East Midlands — which also has the highest rate in the country, 与 2 per cent of the local population thought to be carrying the virus. 与此同时, case levels in the West Midlands were unclear, the ONS said. Cases were also higher than the national average in Yorkshire and the Humber (2 per cent), the West Midlands and the South West (1.9 per cent), as well as the North West (1.8 per cent). But rates were lower in the East of England (1.7 per cent), 东南 (1.5 per cent), 东北 (1.4 per cent) and London (1.2 per cent百分

    The graphs shows the ONS estimate of the percentage of people infected with Covid in each of England’s nine regions. Infections increased in the East Midlands — which also has the highest rate in the country, 与 2 per cent of the local population thought to be carrying the virus. 与此同时, case levels in the West Midlands were unclear, the ONS said. Cases were also higher than the national average in Yorkshire and the Humber (2 百分), the West Midlands and the South West (1.9 百分), as well as the North West (1.8 百分). But rates were lower in the East of England (1.7 百分), 东南 (1.5 百分), 东北 (1.4 百分) and London (1.2 百分)

    The graphs show the estimated number of Britons infected with Covid depending within different age groups. The ONS calculated that cases remained highest among children aged 11 to 16, but fell from 7.5 per cent on the week ending October 30 to 4.8 per cent on the seven days up to Noverm 6. During the most recent seven-day spell cases also fell among almost all other age groups as well, including under-11s (3.8 per cent), those aged 25 to 34 (0.7 per cent), 35 to 49 (1.8 per cent), 50 至 69 and the over-70s (1 per cent). But cases remain highest among young people and the trend was uncertain among 17 到 24 岁 (1.4 per c百分

    The graphs show the estimated number of Britons infected with Covid depending within different age groups. The ONS calculated that cases remained highest among children aged 11 至 16, but fell from 7.5 per cent on the week ending October 30 至 4.8 per cent on the seven days up to Noverm 6. During the most recent seven-day spell cases also fell among almost all other age groups as well, including under-11s (3.8 百分), those aged 25 至 34 (0.7 百分), 35 至 49 (1.8 百分), 50 至 69 and the over-70s (1 百分). But cases remain highest among young people and the trend was uncertain among 17 到 24 岁 (1.4 百分)

    Covid cases in over-80s plunge to lowest level since start of AUGUST

    Covid infections among over-80s in England have fallen to their lowest level in three months, official figures revealed yesterday in more evidence of the ‘booster effect’.

    The UK Health Security Agency’s weekly Covid and flu surveillance report showed 82 people in the cohort per 100,000 tested positive in the week up to November 7.

    The figure is the lowest recorded since August 8, when it stood at 70.4 每 100,000.

    In the most recent peak, infection rates reached a high of 134.5 每 100,000 在十月 24, before falling for the most recent two weeks.

    为了比较, the infection number among the oldest Britons soared to 620 每 100,000 during the peak of the second wave in January.

    It comes as more than 70 per cent of over-80s have had their booster dose. The top-up jabs are a key part of the Government’s plan to control infections, hospitalisations and deaths over the winter.

    Infection rates also fell among all other age groups, apart from children aged four and younger. 一些 159 每 100,000 tested positive in the most recent seven-day period, 相比 157 每 100,000 one week earlier.

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    The ONS Covid survey randomly swabs 100,000 Britons every seven days — even if they have no symptoms of the virus — to estimate its prevalence in the country.

    It is seen as the gold-standard surveillance project tracking the spread of the virus by ministers.

    在威尔士, the number of people testing positive dropped during the most recent week. The ONS estimated 64,900 人 (2.13 百分) — one in 45 — were infected on any day.

    一些 24,700 人 (1.35 百分) were infected in Northern Ireland, a rate of one in 75 人, according to the statisticians, but they noted the trend in the country was uncertain.

    在苏格兰, where one in 85 people were thought to have the virus (62,100, 1.18 百分), the ONS said cases had plateaued.

    Within England, cases fell in seven of the country’s nine regions. Infections increased in the East Midlands — which also has the highest rate in the country, 与 2 per cent of the local population thought to be carrying the virus. 与此同时, case levels in the West Midlands were unclear, the ONS said.

    Cases were also higher than the national average in Yorkshire and the Humber (2 百分), the West Midlands and the South West (1.9 百分), as well as the North West (1.8 百分).

    But rates were lower in the East of England (1.7 百分), 东南 (1.5 百分), 东北 (1.4 百分) and London (1.2 百分).

    与此同时, infection rates remained highest among children aged 11 至 16, but fell from 7.5 per cent on the week ending October 30 至 4.8 per cent on the seven days up to Noverm 6.

    During the most recent seven-day spell cases also fell among almost all other age groups as well, including under-11s (3.8 百分), those aged 25 至 34 (0.7 百分), 35 至 49 (1.8 百分), 50 至 69 and the over-70s (1 百分).

    But cases remain highest among young people and the trend was uncertain among 17 到 24 岁 (1.4 百分).

    Professor Julian Hiscox, an infection and global health expert at Liverpool University, 告诉 金融时报 the downward trend in the official daily Covid cases was different to the drops after the first and second waves, because it was caused ‘almost entirely by the wall of immunity, rather than behavioural changes or restrictions’.

    他说: ‘We could end up in a very nice window thanks to the timing of our booster programme, whereby our peak in population immunity coincides with the winter months when the health service is under most pressure.

    King's College London scientists estimated Britain's Covid cases fell by 18 per cent last week, in the biggest drop since July. SAGE scientists had suggested that cases would fall as so many people had immunity against the virus

    King’s College London scientists estimated Britain’s Covid cases fell by 18 per cent last week, in the biggest drop since July. SAGE scientists had suggested that cases would fall as so many people had immunity against the virus

    It comes after separate figures — published daily on the Government’s Covid dashboards — revealed a further 42,408 new infections, 标记一个 14 上升百分之 37,269 cases recorded on the previous Thursday.

    Cases had been in freefall since late October — believed to be due to growing immunity in children — except for one blip on November 1, when they rose by around 9 百分.

    But latest hospital data shows admissions fell 14 per cent in a week to 868, while daily Covid deaths fell nine per cent to 195. Hospitalisations and deaths — which are both lagging indicators — have been falling for six and three days in a row, 分别.

    And another set of statistics, released yesterday by researchers at King’s College London, showed Britain’s daily Covid cases fell by almost a fifth in a week.

    团队, which runs the country’s largest symptom-tracking study called ZOE, estimated 72,546 people were falling ill with the virus every day in the week to November 5, 从下 88,592 前一周.

    This marked the sharpest fall since the end of July, when there was a 22 per cent fall.

    But Professor Tim Spector, who leads the study, said despite the drop, infections were still ‘highand levels of deaths and hospitalisations recorded daily across the UK were ‘worrying’.

    He said the Kings College scientist also spotted ‘outbreaksof colds as the country heads into the winter, and that the vaccines had made ‘knowing the difference between the two harder than ever’.

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